Weather Outlook

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Date & Time: 07/15/2019 11:45 AM MST

Forecaster: Henz, D.

Another largely uneventful Monsoon weekend is in the books and to make matters worse excessive heat has returned to start out the new week. Looking at the big picture, the Monsoon ridge has dipped south resulting in warmer and drier conditions for the next two days. Dangerous heat values in the 111˚F-116˚F range will be common across the lower deserts during the period. Daily storm chances will also suffer with activity limited to only the high terrain areas of eastern AZ (Mogollon Rim, White Mountains, Sky Islands, etc). A more favorable pattern will look to set up across the state later in the week.

For today plan on mostly sunny skies across the region. Afternoon temperatures will warm into the 112˚F-114˚F range around the Valley. Variable winds will generally hover in the 5-10mph range with some localized evening gusts around 15mph. No storm activity is expected across the County. Overnight lows will remain in the low 90s to upper 80s around the urban corridor. 

For tomorrow plan on temperatures peaking for the week. Daytime highs will quickly warm into the 113˚F-116˚F range around the Valley. Variable winds will be breezy at times in the 7-14mph range with localized greater gusts around 20mph. No storm activity is expected across the County. Moving ahead, a modest gulf surge is expected overnight Tuesday into Wednesday which should bring some deeper moisture into the region. The main result with to lower daily highs back towards the 108˚F mark for the second half of the work week. We may also see an eventual uptick in storm activity as well. More on this in the coming days.

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